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HOUSE REPORT - Q3 2024
Running on empty
We are in the middle of an extraordinary year for the global electorate. With our own political backdrop having changed so decisively, and the US election fast approaching, we are thirsty for details which will impact global economic progress.
Guy Monson, our Chief Market Strategist, sets out what investors should focus on.
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AI: The new industrial revolution
A year ago, we wrote that the generative AI hype was rooted in genuine breakthroughs, forecasting significant long-term impacts and identifying hardware players as clear beneficiaries. Since then, AI has continued to dominate both news headlines and stock market performance, with the gap between perceived AI winners and...
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Equity outlook: Have markets underestimated big tech?
When a small clutch of stocks warrants a name, it implies shared characteristics. In the case of the Magnificent 7[1], they are all tech stocks that produced outstanding returns in 2023. But this is by no means the whole story. In fact, only two of the Magnificent 7...
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Private markets: is the journey worth it?
They are illiquid, hard to access, difficult to research and not especially transparent. So what accounts for the 16x growth of private assets over the past 30 years to become an £8 trillion juggernaut[1]? Not long after the dawn of my investment career – let’s say the 1990s...
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The devil’s in the detail: spotting climate winners and losers
We get to know our companies comprehensively. When it comes to climate change, we use a proprietary, forward-looking approach to weighing individual companies’ prospects as the world warms. Active investment managers spend a lot of time assessing the outlook for individual companies. But when it comes to estimating...
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Equity outlook Q1: Scope for further upside across equity markets
After a strong end to 2023, the prospects for equity markets and active stock selection are now encouraging. However, investors should remain flexible - 2024 may have more surprises in store. As 2022 drew to a close, most investors predicted a weaker US economy in 2023. How could...
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Investment themes: more than meets the AI
Sometimes it seems that the equity market can hold on to only one idea at a time. In 2023 that idea was artificial intelligence (AI), but 2024 could see the markets widen their interests. Market returns in 2023 surprised even the most optimistic of expectations. The ‘Magnificent Seven’,...
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