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Q1 2026 HOUSE REPORT
LOOSE MONEY HARD POWER
Fresh into 2026, our latest House Report explores the themes shaping the months ahead, from the resilience of risk assets amid geopolitical tension and renewed Trump-era unpredictability, to the risks around elevated AI valuations and the payback from data-centre investment.
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Six minute strategy: Markets in the Crossfire: Iran, Oil and the Midterm Countdown
US and Israeli strikes on Iran continue despite limited historical evidence that air power alone can collapse regimes. The conflict is straining US Gulf allies, pressuring the US economy through higher fuel costs, and threatening global energy supplies via the Strait of Hormuz. Guy Monson assesses the impact on investors.
Watch video >Escalation in the Middle East: Another step toward Global Fragmentation
Markets have reacted following the US and Israel’s coordinated military strikes on Iran. While a fast-moving situation, Sarasin has been monitoring developments in the Middle East closely for some time and we remain vigilant.
Read more >Six minute strategy: The new geopolitics of capital
Turbulent US policy, rising geopolitical tensions and $650bn in AI investment – what this shifting global landscape means for growth and portfolios in 2026.
Watch video >Investment insights: our commitment to stewardship
At Sarasin, engaged stewardship has long been at the heart of our global, thematic approach to investing. In the latest in our Investment Insights video, Natasha Landell-Mills, Head of Stewardship, and Julia Shatikova, Ownership Lead, talk though how we work as long-term stewards of our clients’ assets. The...
Read more >Six minute strategy: Loose money, hard power
Guy Monson looks to address the question whether the extraordinary resilience of risk assets that we saw in 2025 can now be sustained into 2026.
Watch video >Banking regulation: rhetoric versus reality
Bank regulation is being revisited, particularly in the US, but this is more refinement than deregulation. Basel 3 is still set to push capital requirements higher, and any changes are unlikely to significantly lift bank lending. Meanwhile, higher post-Covid interest rates and resilient credit quality have driven record or near-record profitability across much of the sector.
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