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Q3 2024
HOUSE REPORT RUNNING ON EMPTY
We are in the middle of an extraordinary year for the global electorate. With our own political backdrop having changed so decisively, and the US election fast approaching, we are thirsty for details which will impact global economic progress.
Guy Monson, our Chief Market Strategist, sets out what investors should focus on.
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Six Minute Strategy: So, what’s ahead for global markets in 2025?
Investors will remember 2024 as the year of the market correction that never arrived. Despite geopolitical turmoil in Europe and the Middle East, escalating trade tensions with China, mostly every major equity market delivered positive returns. Even the Republican ‘clean sweep’ in Washington, which most saw as a...
Watch video >Six Minute Strategy: Making sense of bull market resilience
In 2024, we’ve endured wars, political crises, and trade battles, yet global equity markets have continued to push forward. In our latest Six Minute Strategy video, Guy Monson, Chief Market Strategist, discusses this global market resilience, most recently seen following Donald Trump’s decisive victory in the US presidential...
Watch video >Six Minute Strategy: Regime Change in Washington
Equity markets have risen strongly since Donald Trump’s decisive victory in the US presidential election. The sustainability of this US-centric rally, however, will likely hinge on the trajectory of bond yields. In our latest Six Minute Strategy video, Guy Monson, Chief Market Strategist, is joined by Dr Subitha...
Watch video >Donald Trump’s decisive win heralds a regime shift for the US and the global order
Having had time to follow the results and market reaction to the last week’s US presidential election, we take a closer look at Donald Trump’s key policies around lower taxes, higher tariffs, deregulation, and tighter borders, and assess what this could all mean for investors on a global...
Read more >Six Minute Strategy: UK Budget - back to 'big state' economics
October’s UK Budget represented what may be one of the largest increases in spending, tax, and borrowing of any fiscal event in history. Spending policies will add a colossal 2.2% a year of GDP or £69.5bn - £45bn on current spending and £24bn on capital spending. This will...
Watch video >Six minute strategy: Is the ‘Japanification’ of the Chinese property market inevitable?
Chinese authorities have been busy cutting interest rates and promising fiscal stimulus, but this doesn’t yet minimise the risk that the property market slips into Japanese-style, multi-year deflation. The question for investors is whether the latest policy moves are just a de-risking step by the authorities, or in...
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