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Equinor’s shareholder vote on its transition to low carbon matters to the world. If Equinor can’t meet its Paris alignment promises, what chance do other oil and gas companies have?

On 14 May shareholders in the Norwegian oil and gas major, Equinor, will vote on whether the company should increase the pace of its transformation to become a low-carbon energy leader. This vote matters not just to Equinor’s shareholders; it matters to the world.

For shareholders, the case for steadily winding down investment into future oil and gas production makes economic sense. The IEA now projects global oil and gas demand will peak before 2030[1]. The IEA sees demand for oil and gas falling 45% by 2050 given current announced climate policies. If the world adopts policies aligned with the Paris goals, demand destruction will reach 75% by 2050[2].

It is also important that Equinor pivots its strategy to align with the Paris Agreement goals. Failure to do so would likely exacerbate ongoing climate change, putting future economic growth and broad-based investment returns at risk.

At last year’s AGM, the Norwegian Government – which holds 67% of Equinor’s shares – published its expectations for Equinor in this regard:

The state expects cf. Meld. St. 6 (2022-2023) – Greener and more active state ownership (white paper on the State’s direct ownership of companies) that: … ii) The company sets targets and implements measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in both the short and long term in line with the Paris Agreement, and reports on goal attainment. The targets shall be science-based when available.”

As long-term investors, Sarasin & Partners LLP, alongside co-filers Sampension of Denmark, the UK’s West Yorkshire Pension Fund and Dutch Achmea Investment Management, welcomed the largest shareholder’s clear steer to Equinor’s board.

This AGM, we hope the Norwegian government and other shareholders will join with us to reinforce this message to Equinor’s board. If Equinor, majority owned by a signatory and vocal supporter of the Paris Agreement, is unable to turn its promises of Paris alignment into concrete action, then what are the chances of other oil and gas companies doing so?

[1] IEA, “Oil and gas industry in Net Zero Transition”, November 2023; https://www.iea.org/reports/the-oil-and-gas-industry-in-net-zero-transitions

[2] ibid


Important Information

This document is intended for retail investors. You should not act or rely on this document but should contact your professional adviser.

This document has been issued by Sarasin & Partners LLP of Juxon House, 100 St Paul’s Churchyard, London, EC4M 8BU, a limited liability partnership registered in England and Wales with registered number OC329859, and which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority with firm reference number 475111.

This document has been prepared for marketing and information purposes only and is not a solicitation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. The information on which the material is based has been obtained in good faith, from sources that we believe to be reliable, but we have not independently verified such information and we make no representation or warranty, express or implied, as to its accuracy. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice.

This document should not be relied on for accounting, legal or tax advice, or investment recommendations. Reliance should not be placed on the views and information in this material when taking individual investment and/or strategic decisions.

The value of investments and any income derived from them can fall as well as rise and investors may not get back the amount originally invested. If investing in foreign currencies, the return in the investor’s reference currency may increase or decrease as a result of currency fluctuations. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results and may not be repeated. Forecasts are not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Neither Sarasin & Partners LLP nor any other member of the J. Safra Sarasin Holding Ltd group accepts any liability or responsibility whatsoever for any consequential loss of any kind arising out of the use of this document or any part of its contents. The use of this document should not be regarded as a substitute for the exercise by the recipient of their own judgement. Sarasin & Partners LLP and/or any person connected with it may act upon or make use of the material referred to herein and/or any of the information upon which it is based, prior to publication of this document.

Where the data in this document comes partially from third-party sources the accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information contained in this publication is not guaranteed, and third-party data is provided without any warranties of any kind. Sarasin & Partners LLP shall have no liability in connection with third-party data.

© 2024 Sarasin & Partners LLP – all rights reserved. This document can only be distributed or reproduced with permission from Sarasin & Partners LLP. Please contact [email protected].

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This website should not be regarded as an offer or solicitation to conduct investment business in any jurisdiction other than South Africa. The information on this website is provided on the condition that it will not form the basis for any investment decision by the recipient or clients that the recipient may be representing or acting for.

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The information on this website does not in any way constitute investment, tax, legal or any other form of advice or recommendation that a product or investment is suitable for you or your circumstances. If you are unsure as to whether the investments described in this site are suitable for you should seek professional advice from a professional adviser.

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The information on this website does not in any way constitute investment, tax, legal or any other form of advice or recommendation that a product or investment is suitable for you or your circumstances. If you are unsure as to whether the investments described in this site are suitable for you should seek professional advice from a professional adviser.

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